B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$204.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DHI
D.R HortonANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Resilient entry-level demand, steady backlog conversion, and margin expansion from supply-chain normalization and pricing discipline drive a re-rating toward the analyst high.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.1.
What can break
Higher-than-expected cancellations or price concessions
Momentum
39
Value
59
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $160.72 · Bull $204.75 · Bear $111.00Analysis 2026-02-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $164.00
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +11.5
Value59 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +10.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher-than-expected cancellations or price concessions
- • Input-cost inflation pressuring gross margins
- • A sustained mortgage-rate rise or material cancellations compress volumes and margins, moving valuation toward the analyst low and creating inventory and liquidity pressure.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-06
Quarterly earnings / results release
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.5
Δ21d
+19.3
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-3.6
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.1
Δ21d
+9.2
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 39.0 / Value 58.6 / Sentiment 81.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-05. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$160.72
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$111.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$41.49B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
279.7M
P/E (TTM)
12.6
P/S (TTM)
1.25
P/FCF (TTM)
15.29
Rev YoY
+0.0%
EPS YoY
-4.8%
Gross Margin
+22.6%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$3B
Current Ratio
10.45
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data