B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DECK
Deckers OutdoorANYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$94.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-09
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.2
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+81.7
Score
AI commentary
Primary-source evidence remains constructive after the Q1 results and guidance raise, but recent third-party headlines are cautious and the packet lacks social, options, short-interest, and post-print analyst-revision data. The report remains a cautious monitoring thesis rather than a high-conviction rerating call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-09
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-23eventQ1 FY2027 results and EPS guidance raiseHigh impact
Deckers reported Q1 FY2027 revenue of $1.020 billion and diluted EPS of $0.94, while raising full-year EPS guidance to $7.35-$7.50. HOKA, UGG, DTC, and international sales were growth drivers. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
2027-03-31catalystSG&A and operating-income conversion riskHigh impact
Q1 SG&A increased faster than sales and operating income declined year over year, creating execution risk if expense growth continues to outpace revenue or if brand-transition costs persist. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
2027-03-31catalystFY2027 brand and channel executionHigh impact
Execution through the fiscal year ending March 31, 2027 is the main forward checkpoint. Sustained HOKA and UGG demand, DTC growth, and international expansion could support recovery, but visibility remains dependent on continued full-price demand. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology