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DECK

Deckers OutdoorA
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The latest confirmed results show continued HOKA and UGG growth, strong DTC and international performance, improved gross margin, and a raised FY2027 EPS outlook. The low share price may reflect substantial caution, but post-print analyst revisions are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
HOKA or UGG growth could decelerate, particularly if consumer demand or channel conditions weaken.
Momentum
15
Value
65
Sentiment
82
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $94.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $68.00Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $119.67
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +2.2
Value65 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment82 · Δ7d +10.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +10.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • HOKA or UGG growth could decelerate, particularly if consumer demand or channel conditions weaken.
  • • No post-print analyst estimate revisions, target changes, or detailed market-reaction attribution were available in the packet.
  • • Operating income declined despite revenue growth because SG&A rose materially, while Other brands declined partly due to the Koolaburra phase-out.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q1 FY2027 results and EPS guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
65
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
82
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.8
Δ21d
+13.6
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 14.8 / Value 65.5 / Sentiment 81.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$94.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$12.27B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
136.18M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
3.00
P/FCF (TTM)
16.08
Rev YoY
+5.8%
EPS YoY
+0.8%
Gross Margin
+56.3%
Op Margin
+22.4%
Net Debt
-$1.53B
Current Ratio
2.75
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data