DECK
Deckers OutdoorCNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-07-17
Current thesis
Record FY26 revenue/EPS, a high-single-digit FY27 revenue guide, FY27 EPS guidance of $7.30-$7.45, and a larger buyback authorization support a thesis that HOKA and UGG can keep compounding while capital return provides downside support.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-07-14.
What can break
Competition is intense across athletic, lifestyle and branded apparel, including direct competitors to HOKA and UGG. [#10-K-2026-05-22]
Momentum
26
Value
62
Sentiment
65
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $128.50 · Bull $160.00 · Bear $88.00
Earnings
2026-07-23 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-14 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-17 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-17
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-17
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $128.26
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -6.5
Value62 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment65 · Δ7d -10.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
26
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-6.5
Δ21d
-16.0
Value
62
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
65
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.9
Δ21d
-7.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 26.4 / Value 61.6 / Sentiment 65.1
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-14
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-14
Market Cap
$14.8B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
138.88M
P/E (TTM)
16.0
P/S (TTM)
3.00
P/FCF (TTM)
16.08
Rev YoY
+8.7%
EPS YoY
-4.0%
Gross Margin
+56.1%
Op Margin
+23.5%
Net Debt
-$1.53B
Current Ratio
3.54
As of 2026-07-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology