B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$173.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DDS
Dillard'sFNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull: sustained comp re-acceleration, tighter inventory turns, and modest multiple expansion drive operational leverage and push shares toward the bull target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Discretionary consumer spending weakens
Momentum
81
Value
57
Sentiment
16
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $139.07 · Bull $173.84 · Bear $104.30Analysis 2025-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $545.67
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -0.7
Value57 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment16 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Discretionary consumer spending weakens
- • Inventory overhang forces larger-than-expected markdowns
- • Bear: softer discretionary demand or heavier markdowns compress margins and multiples, resulting in material downside to the bear target.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Quarterly earnings (near-term)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+11.7
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.6
Sentiment
16
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 81.3 / Value 57.3 / Sentiment 15.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$139.07
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$104.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.05B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
15.62M
P/E (TTM)
17.5
P/S (TTM)
1.52
P/FCF (TTM)
27.43
Rev YoY
-0.4%
EPS YoY
+34.3%
Gross Margin
+38.5%
Op Margin
+11.1%
Net Debt
-$515.4M
Current Ratio
3.03
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data