B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$173.84
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DDS
Dillard'sDTXS / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull: sustained comp re-acceleration, tighter inventory turns, and modest multiple expansion drive operational leverage and push shares toward the bull target.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-09.
What can break
Discretionary consumer spending weakens
Momentum
88
Value
56
Sentiment
20
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $139.07 · Bull $173.84 · Bear $104.30Analysis 2025-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-09
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-04 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-04 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-11-04
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-04
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-04. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $545.67
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +1.6
Value56 · Δ7d +1.6
Sentiment20 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-09.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Discretionary consumer spending weakens
- • Inventory overhang forces larger-than-expected markdowns
- • Bear: softer discretionary demand or heavier markdowns compress margins and multiples, resulting in material downside to the bear target.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-09
Quarterly earnings (near-term)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
-6.3
Value
56
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
20
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 88.3 / Value 56.1 / Sentiment 20.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-09-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$139.07
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$104.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-11-04
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-04
Market Cap
$9.94B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
15.62M
P/E (TTM)
17.5
P/S (TTM)
1.52
P/FCF (TTM)
27.43
Rev YoY
-0.4%
EPS YoY
+34.3%
Gross Margin
+38.5%
Op Margin
+11.1%
Net Debt
-$515.4M
Current Ratio
3.03
As of 2026-11-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data