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DDI

DoubleDown InteractiveA
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 showed durable-looking revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, materially higher DTC mix, continued SuprNation growth, and strong cash generation. These trends could support upside if maintained beyond acquisition-related contribution.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Average monthly revenue per payer declined to $218 from $286 after WHOW inclusion, despite higher payer conversion and ARPDAU.
Momentum
87
Value
70
Sentiment
47
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.80 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.88
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d -0.9
Value70 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment47 · Δ7d +2.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Average monthly revenue per payer declined to $218 from $286 after WHOW inclusion, despite higher payer conversion and ARPDAU.
  • • Low coverage, absent social context, limited formal guidance, and unavailable post-print analyst revisions reduce confidence.
  • • WHOW Games contributed materially to growth, and the company noted lower average monthly revenue per payer after WHOW inclusion.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-11

Q2 2026 results confirmed strong operating momentum

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
+1.1
Value
70
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
47
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
-7.7
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 86.8 / Value 70.1 / Sentiment 47.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$674.92M
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
2.48M
P/E (TTM)
3.9
P/S (TTM)
1.29
P/FCF (TTM)
3.21
Rev YoY
+11.0%
EPS YoY
+49.9%
Gross Margin
+95.2%
Op Margin
+38.1%
Net Debt
-$448.71M
Current Ratio
18.82
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data