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DCI

DonaldsonB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Record FY2026 sales, margins and earnings provide a strong starting point, while aftermarket growth, China demand, power-generation backlog and the FY2027 segment plan offer multiple earnings drivers. Successful Facet integration could add strategic upside beyond the current fiscal year.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
What can break
Aerospace supply constraints and the California-to-Illinois production move could delay backlog conversion.
Momentum
62
Value
55
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $89.00 · Bull $105.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-09-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $105.75
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d +6.1
Value55 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Aerospace supply constraints and the California-to-Illinois production move could delay backlog conversion.
  • • Facet-related amortization and interest expense could offset operating growth; FY2027 interest expense was previously projected at $55-$60 million versus $36 million in FY2026. [#IR-2026-08-26]
  • • The outlook requires Donaldson to absorb higher interest expense, approximately $0.12 of expected Facet dilution and continuing production and supply-chain inefficiencies.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-26

FY2026 records establish the FY2027 benchmark

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
62
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.1
Δ21d
+11.6
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
-4.1
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 62.1 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 58.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$89.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$9.9B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
115.82M
P/E (TTM)
28.4
P/S (TTM)
2.82
P/FCF (TTM)
39.04
Rev YoY
+5.9%
EPS YoY
+108.1%
Gross Margin
+34.3%
Op Margin
+15.4%
Net Debt
$549.8M
Current Ratio
2.35
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data