DCH

DauchD

NYSE / Automobiles & Components

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

The bullish read is that Q1 offered an acceptable first look at the combined company: reported scale stepped up, adjusted EBITDA margin held at 13.0%, guidance edges improved, and the synergy roadmap is now tangible rather than purely pro forma.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

What can break

2026 restructuring, acquisition-related, and integration cash demands remain heavy: the 10-Q says Dauch expects about $100-$140 million of restructuring charges, $60-$70 million of acquisition-related costs, and $100-$125 million of integration costs in 2026 [#10-Q-2026-05-08].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $6.40 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $4.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $8.94

Why

Momentum9 · Δ7d +2.1

Value63 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment64 · Δ7d -11.7

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+2.1

Δ21d

-13.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-11.7

Δ21d

-1.6

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 9.3 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 63.7

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$1.26B

Beta

1.60

Shares Out

237.37M

P/E (TTM)

19.1

P/S (TTM)

0.13

P/FCF (TTM)

4.72

Rev YoY

+68.6%

EPS YoY

-1000.9%

Gross Margin

+9.8%

Op Margin

+3.1%

Net Debt

$2.05B

Current Ratio

1.40

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology