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DCH

DauchA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher 2026 outlook, Q2 adjusted free cash flow and successful Dowlais synergies could support a re-rating. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
What can break
2026 targets assume no USMCA changes and mitigation of most incremental tariff costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
Momentum
17
Value
62
Sentiment
73
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.30 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $3.50Analysis 2026-09-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $8.55
Why
Momentum17 · Δ7d +2.3
Value62 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment73 · Δ7d +6.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +6.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • 2026 targets assume no USMCA changes and mitigation of most incremental tariff costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • Customer-program and regional vehicle-production assumptions may not hold. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-07]
  • • Q2 GAAP net income was only $1.0 million despite $389.6 million of adjusted EBITDA.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30 · BMO

Raised 2026 outlook after Q2 results

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
17
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-3.8
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
73
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+6.4
Δ21d
+13.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 17.4 / Value 62.5 / Sentiment 73.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.30
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.1B
Beta
1.60
Shares Out
237.61M
P/E (TTM)
19.1
P/S (TTM)
0.13
P/FCF (TTM)
4.72
Rev YoY
+92.4%
EPS YoY
-98.8%
Gross Margin
+9.5%
Op Margin
+3.4%
Net Debt
$2.05B
Current Ratio
1.40
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data