B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DB
Deutsche Bank AktiengesellschaftCNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 execution looked constructive: revenue and profit improved, costs fell year over year, capital ratios stayed within target, and management reiterated medium-term goals for revenue growth, RoTE improvement, and a 60% payout ratio with buybacks.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
2026 expense guidance is still slightly above €21bn, leaving limited room for cost disappointments.
Momentum
81
Value
60
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $40.00 · Bull $46.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-06-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $42.03
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -0.1
Value60 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d +1.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • 2026 expense guidance is still slightly above €21bn, leaving limited room for cost disappointments.
- • Capital deployment remains subject to regulatory approval even if CET1 stays within the operating range.
- • The bear case is that higher credit-loss provisions and slightly above-€21bn expense guidance absorb much of the operating leverage, while the absence of fresh estimate revisions leaves the post-print rerating case less validated.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-29
Q1 2026 earnings showed better profit and revenue mix, with capital-return framing intact
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+5.2
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
-7.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 81.0 / Value 59.5 / Sentiment 59.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-06-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-06-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$71.72B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
1.88B
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
2.04
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
5.57
Rev YoY
+7.8%
EPS YoY
+20.9%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+16.5%
Net Debt
$228.13B
Current Ratio
4.68
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data