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DAR

Darling IngredientsB
NYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The $2.2–$2.3 billion 2026 Combined Adjusted EBITDA outlook and management’s expected fourth-quarter DGD timing recovery could support upside if the full results confirm strong core operations [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
What can break
Full third-quarter Darling results were not included in the October 22 statement; core earnings and cash-flow confirmation remain pending [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22].
Momentum
43
Value
59
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $57.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $42.00Analysis 2026-10-23; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $83.36
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -12.9
Value59 · Δ7d +1.3
Sentiment61 · Δ7d -10.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Full third-quarter Darling results were not included in the October 22 statement; core earnings and cash-flow confirmation remain pending [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22].
  • • Renewable-fuel policy, demand and pricing changes could impair margins [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
  • • The DGD recovery is a management expectation, not a reported fourth-quarter result.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

October 28 third-quarter results and October 29 call

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-12.9
Δ21d
-29.0
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.3
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
61
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.9
Δ21d
-13.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.0 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 60.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-23. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$57.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-23 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$8.78B
Beta
1.27
Shares Out
157.8M
P/E (TTM)
56.2
P/S (TTM)
1.02
P/FCF (TTM)
12.48
Rev YoY
+15.9%
EPS YoY
+2940.6%
Gross Margin
+18.3%
Op Margin
+8.9%
Net Debt
$4.06B
Current Ratio
1.56
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data