CXW
CoreCivicANYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 confirmed real operating leverage from facility activations: revenue rose to $614.7 million, Adjusted EBITDA reached $110.1 million, ICE revenue nearly doubled year over year, and full-year EBITDA guidance moved up materially. If Midwest, California City, and Diamondback continue ramping and CSP contributes as expected, 2026 earnings power can still move higher from here [#8-K-2026-05-06].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -13.5.
What can break
California City faces litigation risk that could affect operations even though CoreCivic is not currently a party to the lawsuit [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Momentum
73
Value
60
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $17.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $29.50
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -13.5
Value60 · Δ7d +1.1
Sentiment55 · Δ7d +5.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
73
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-13.5
Δ21d
-8.6
Value
60
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
55
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
-5.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 73.3 / Value 60.4 / Sentiment 55.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$2.1B
Beta
0.71
Shares Out
104.58M
P/E (TTM)
19.5
P/S (TTM)
0.98
P/FCF (TTM)
18.18
Rev YoY
+18.1%
EPS YoY
+29.5%
Gross Margin
+24.1%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$884.4M
Current Ratio
1.41
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology