CXW
CoreCivicCNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 confirmed real operating leverage from facility activations: revenue rose to $614.7 million, Adjusted EBITDA reached $110.1 million, ICE revenue nearly doubled year over year, and full-year EBITDA guidance moved up materially. If Midwest, California City, and Diamondback continue ramping and CSP contributes as expected, 2026 earnings power can still move higher from here [#8-K-2026-05-06].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.8.
What can break
California City faces litigation risk that could affect operations even though CoreCivic is not currently a party to the lawsuit [#10-Q-2026-05-07].
Momentum
96
Value
52
Sentiment
21
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $23.00 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $17.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $35.40
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -1.8
Value52 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment21 · Δ7d +1.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
96
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.8
Δ21d
-1.1
Value
52
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
21
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.1
Δ21d
-1.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 95.6 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 20.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$3.15B
Beta
0.71
Shares Out
98.89M
P/E (TTM)
19.5
P/S (TTM)
0.98
P/FCF (TTM)
18.18
Rev YoY
+25.8%
EPS YoY
+66.4%
Gross Margin
+18.0%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
$1.24B
Current Ratio
2.44
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology