B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CVS
CVS HealthCNYSE / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Raised EPS and cash-flow guidance, improved Aetna margins and pharmacy earnings support further recovery if medical costs remain controlled. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-23.
What can break
Elevated medical-cost trends could reverse Aetna margin recovery or threaten raised guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
40
Value
66
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $88.00 · Bull $104.00 · Bear $68.00Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $113.88
Why
Momentum40 · Δ7d +3.9
Value66 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment44 · Δ7d -0.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-23.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.3.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Elevated medical-cost trends could reverse Aetna margin recovery or threaten raised guidance. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • GLP-1 service adoption and profit contribution are not quantified. CVS Q2 release.
- • CVS itself cautioned about elevated cost trends and macro headwinds.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Delivery of raised 2026 guidance
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
40
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
+8.0
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
44
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-28.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 39.8 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 43.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$68.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$119.55B
Beta
0.49
Shares Out
1.28B
P/E (TTM)
210.7
P/S (TTM)
0.26
P/FCF (TTM)
35.17
Rev YoY
+7.2%
EPS YoY
+187.9%
Gross Margin
+14.2%
Op Margin
+3.5%
Net Debt
$69.29B
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data