RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

CVCO

Cavco IndustriesB
Nasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Bull: favorable mortgage-rate environment, stronger-than-expected seasonal demand, and successful capacity scaling push Cavco toward the analyst high; operational leverage lifts margins and justifies a premium to peers.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Large analyst-target divergence leading to volatile sentiment
Momentum
37
Value
51
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $607.50 · Bull $753.00 · Bear $440.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $665.00
Why
Momentum37 · Δ7d +0.6
Value51 · Δ7d -0.7
Sentiment72 · Δ7d -7.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Large analyst-target divergence leading to volatile sentiment
  • • Regulatory or insurance-cost shifts impacting margins
  • • Bear: prolonged high mortgage rates, weakening housing starts, or execution problems on production expansion cause demand and margin erosion; downside capped by backlog and replacement demand but could push shares materially below the anchor.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Quarterly earnings and forward guidance update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
37
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.6
Δ21d
-15.1
Value
51
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
+1.2
Sentiment
72
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 37.1 / Value 50.6 / Sentiment 72.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$753.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$607.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$440.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$4.15B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
7.69M
P/E (TTM)
24.4
P/S (TTM)
2.16
P/FCF (TTM)
25.77
Rev YoY
+9.5%
EPS YoY
-15.4%
Gross Margin
+23.2%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
-$230.47M
Current Ratio
2.23
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data