B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$753.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CVCO
Cavco IndustriesANasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull: favorable mortgage-rate environment, stronger-than-expected seasonal demand, and successful capacity scaling push Cavco toward the analyst high; operational leverage lifts margins and justifies a premium to peers.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.
What can break
Large analyst-target divergence leading to volatile sentiment
Momentum
64
Value
49
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $607.50 · Bull $753.00 · Bear $440.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $646.67
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d +16.5
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment81 · Δ7d +8.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Large analyst-target divergence leading to volatile sentiment
- • Regulatory or insurance-cost shifts impacting margins
- • Bear: prolonged high mortgage rates, weakening housing starts, or execution problems on production expansion cause demand and margin erosion; downside capped by backlog and replacement demand but could push shares materially below the anchor.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Quarterly earnings and forward guidance update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
64
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+16.5
Δ21d
+10.9
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-1.5
Sentiment
81
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
+12.9
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 63.6 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 80.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$607.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$440.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.61B
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
7.69M
P/E (TTM)
24.4
P/S (TTM)
2.16
P/FCF (TTM)
25.77
Rev YoY
+9.5%
EPS YoY
-15.4%
Gross Margin
+23.2%
Op Margin
+9.6%
Net Debt
-$230.47M
Current Ratio
2.23
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data