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CURI

CuriosityStreamB
Nasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
CuriosityStream could benefit if AI/data licensing scales as management expects, while improving gross margin, positive adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow, no debt, and capital returns support the equity story. Q2 results are the next important validation point.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Licensing growth and AI-data monetization may take longer or produce less revenue than management expects.
Momentum
13
Value
47
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $2.95 · Bull $4.10 · Bear $1.80Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.38
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -
Value47 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Licensing growth and AI-data monetization may take longer or produce less revenue than management expects.
  • • Peer comparability and analyst coverage are limited, increasing valuation and price-volatility risk.
  • • The Q1 sequential revenue decline, lower adjusted EBITDA and operating cash flow, continuing net loss, and uncertain timing of licensing monetization leave execution risk high.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q2 2026 results scheduled for August 12

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+4.5
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 13.0 / Value 46.6 / Sentiment 77.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$2.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$175.05M
Beta
1.86
Shares Out
59.34M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-26.5
P/S (TTM)
3.28
P/FCF (TTM)
53.48
Rev YoY
+22.3%
EPS YoY
+977.9%
Gross Margin
+62.9%
Op Margin
-0.3%
Net Debt
-$23.46M
Current Ratio
0.78
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data