CTOS
Custom Truck One SourceCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The strongest fresh evidence is operational: Q1 revenue and EBITDA both beat prior-year levels by a wide margin, utilization improved to 81.4%, guidance moved higher, and leverage ticked down to 4.02x from 4.31x. That supports a view that the SER business is benefiting from real T&D demand rather than only financial engineering.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
What can break
GAAP profitability is still weak: CTOS reported a Q1 net loss of $4.1M despite stronger Adjusted EBITDA. [#8-K-2026-04-27]
Momentum
89
Value
49
Sentiment
27
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.20 · Bull $10.50 · Bear $6.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.50
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +0.5
Value49 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment27 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
89
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
-4.5
Value
49
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
27
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+9.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 89.2 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 27.2
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$2.35B
Beta
1.17
Shares Out
227.43M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-75.6
P/S (TTM)
0.72
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-15.44
Rev YoY
+9.3%
EPS YoY
-76.8%
Gross Margin
+19.6%
Op Margin
+7.2%
Net Debt
$2.41B
Current Ratio
1.30
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology