CTGO

Contango Silver GoldD

NYSE American / Materials

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The strongest bull argument is that Q1 looked like a transition quarter rather than a thesis break: cash rose to $97.5M, debt fell to $13.6M, Manh Choh guidance was maintained, and management pointed to a higher-production phase as mining moves into higher-grade South Pit areas [#8-K-2026-05-15].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.8.

What can break

CTGO depends on Peak Gold JV campaign timing and Kinross-operated mine execution for near-term cash generation.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $24.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $18.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $37.67

Why

Momentum13 · Δ7d -8.0

Value34 · Δ7d +0.1

Sentiment81 · Δ7d +7.8

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-8.0

Δ21d

+3.7

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.1

Δ21d

+0.1

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+7.8

Δ21d

-3.8

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 13.0 / Value 33.9 / Sentiment 81.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$521.31M

Beta

-0.36

Shares Out

32.34M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-5.8

P/S (TTM)

P/FCF (TTM)

8.09

Rev YoY

EPS YoY

-55.8%

Gross Margin

Op Margin

Net Debt

-$31.09M

Current Ratio

1.27

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology