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CSX

CSXD
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Execution of efficiency programs, sustained pricing and network investments drive revenue and margin expansion toward the high end of analyst targets (high‑$40s).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.
What can break
Execution failure on network productivity initiatives
Momentum
75
Value
50
Sentiment
42
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $39.45 · Bull $47.25 · Bear $30.00Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $53.78
Why
Momentum75 · Δ7d -5.6
Value50 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment42 · Δ7d +4.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Execution failure on network productivity initiatives
  • • Major labor negotiations or strike risk
  • • Macro-led volume weakness, pricing pressure, or execution setbacks compress margins and drive results toward the low analyst target near $30, prioritizing capital preservation.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-24

Labor negotiations / service disruptions

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
75
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.6
Δ21d
+8.9
Value
50
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.0
Sentiment
42
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.1
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 75.1 / Value 49.6 / Sentiment 42.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$39.45
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$93.7B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
1.85B
P/E (TTM)
23.3
P/S (TTM)
4.73
P/FCF (TTM)
112.95
Rev YoY
+10.1%
EPS YoY
+21.8%
Gross Margin
+35.3%
Op Margin
+35.3%
Net Debt
$18.74B
Current Ratio
0.82
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data