CSTM
Constellium SEBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The strongest primary evidence is still the April 29, 2026 Q1 release: revenue rose 24% year over year to $2.461 billion, adjusted EBITDA reached $359 million, and management raised 2026 guidance while keeping leverage at 2.2x and repurchasing stock [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29]. If Q2 confirms that the stronger end-market mix and operating execution persist, the stock can still work from here.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.4.
What can break
Free cash flow was only $5 million in Q1, so the raised full-year cash target still requires stronger conversion in later quarters [#SEC-8K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
53
Value
63
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $36.50 · Bear $24.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $37.20
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d -1.5
Value63 · Δ7d +0.4
Sentiment54 · Δ7d -7.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
53
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-22.4
Value
63
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
54
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-0.4
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 52.8 / Value 63.2 / Sentiment 53.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$3.83B
Beta
1.50
Shares Out
136.15M
P/E (TTM)
22.4
P/S (TTM)
0.34
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
22.49
Rev YoY
+24.4%
EPS YoY
+453.2%
Gross Margin
+11.3%
Op Margin
+3.7%
Net Debt
$1.94B
Current Ratio
1.39
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology