B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$142.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CROX
CrocsANasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 operating momentum, continued DTC execution, product innovation, and substantial repurchase capacity could support earnings durability and eventual rerating [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Analyst estimate revisions, rating changes, and detailed consensus data are unavailable.
Momentum
65
Value
64
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $120.00 · Bull $142.00 · Bear $98.00Analysis 2026-08-28; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $138.75
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -10.1
Value64 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +2.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst estimate revisions, rating changes, and detailed consensus data are unavailable.
- • Execution risk across brands and channels could weaken the longer-term rerating case.
- • The deterministic prior has turned negative across all modeled horizons, while forward expectation risk, recent CEO selling, and unavailable analyst revisions reduce confidence in a near-term recovery.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
Q2 filing confirmed results and expanded repurchase capacity
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.1
Δ21d
-0.9
Value
64
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-4.7
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 64.6 / Value 63.9 / Sentiment 61.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-28. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$98.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$5.74B
Beta
1.56
Shares Out
47.95M
P/E (TTM)
27.9
P/S (TTM)
1.09
P/FCF (TTM)
6.20
Rev YoY
+2.6%
EPS YoY
-146.8%
Gross Margin
+57.5%
Op Margin
+20.8%
Net Debt
$1.48B
Current Ratio
1.49
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data