B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRCT
CricutCNasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Platform revenue, subscribers, ARPU, active users, margins, and cash generation showed constructive trends despite weak total revenue. Successful platform-first execution could gradually improve mix and valuation.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
What can break
Flat 90-day engaged users leave retention and usage quality unconfirmed.
Momentum
95
Value
53
Sentiment
44
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $5.75 · Bull $7.25 · Bear $4.25Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.07
Why
Momentum95 · Δ7d +0.4
Value53 · Δ7d +0.7
Sentiment44 · Δ7d +1.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Flat 90-day engaged users leave retention and usage quality unconfirmed.
- • No verified post-print consensus estimate changes or broad analyst reaction were available.
- • The core top line remains pressured, Products revenue declined 22%, 90-day engagement was flat, and reported net income benefited from unique items.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-04
Mixed Q2 2026 earnings print
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
95
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+1.3
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
44
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-3.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 95.4 / Value 52.7 / Sentiment 44.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$5.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$4.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.31B
Beta
0.17
Shares Out
209.44M
P/E (TTM)
13.2
P/S (TTM)
1.47
P/FCF (TTM)
6.68
Rev YoY
-9.2%
EPS YoY
+62.0%
Gross Margin
+57.9%
Op Margin
+15.5%
Net Debt
-$264.03M
Current Ratio
2.49
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data