CRCL
Circle Internet GroupBNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull read is that Q1 showed resilient USDC utility despite weaker digital-asset markets, with margin help from higher on-platform balances and faster-growing non-reserve revenue. Delayed analyst reaction was modestly supportive in available coverage, including target increases cited in the draft, but the evidence remains insufficient to treat revisions as a broad positive cycle.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Arc introduces execution, governance, regulatory, and liquidity risk; the 10-Q states repayment rights could force Circle to return cash or USDC if delivery or network-transition milestones are missed. [#10-Q-2026-05-11]
Momentum
3
Value
50
Sentiment
100
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $124.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $95.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $123.08
Why
Momentum3 · Δ7d +0.4
Value50 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment100 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
3
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
+0.3
Value
50
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-0.4
Sentiment
100
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 2.8 / Value 50.3 / Sentiment 100.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$16.27B
Beta
-
Shares Out
248.58M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-228.1
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
31.47
Rev YoY
+20.0%
EPS YoY
-28.8%
Gross Margin
+5.0%
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$1.48B
Current Ratio
1.03
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

