B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CRC
California ResourcesBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The company’s Q2 release supports a constructive operating case: strong production, free cash flow, liquidity, accelerated Berry synergies, lower maintenance-capital needs, debt-maturity extension, and emerging CCS and data-center infrastructure initiatives. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
What can break
CCS, data-center, and other infrastructure initiatives carry execution, permitting, and commercialization uncertainty.
Momentum
39
Value
66
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $58.00 · Bull $70.00 · Bear $44.00Analysis 2026-08-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-21
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-21. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $75.71
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +4.5
Value66 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +4.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • CCS, data-center, and other infrastructure initiatives carry execution, permitting, and commercialization uncertainty.
- • Commodity-price volatility and hedge settlements can materially change realized pricing and cash flow.
- • The stock remains exposed to oil and gas prices, hedge settlements, execution on the Crimson acquisition, and the risk that one-time derivative accounting obscures underlying earnings.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-10
Q2 2026 results show solid cash generation but mixed earnings quality
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+12.3
Value
66
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.0
Δ21d
-3.5
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 39.4 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 69.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$58.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$4.75B
Beta
1.14
Shares Out
88.82M
P/E (TTM)
10.6
P/S (TTM)
1.12
P/FCF (TTM)
9.96
Rev YoY
+33.0%
EPS YoY
+199.2%
Gross Margin
+39.7%
Op Margin
+21.6%
Net Debt
$1.23B
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-09-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data