RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

CRBG

Corebridge FinancialC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
The company-released Q2 results showed a $1.12 operating EPS beat versus stored $1.08 consensus, 5% growth in core sources of income, continued capital returns, and shareholder approval of the Equitable merger. The stored analyst-target median of $38.17 implies roughly 12% upside from the $34.01 anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Adjusted pre-tax operating income declined 21% year over year, with higher policyholder benefits, credited interest, and other expenses cited as offsets.
Momentum
68
Value
40
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $38.17 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $29.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $39.08
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d +3.0
Value40 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +1.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted pre-tax operating income declined 21% year over year, with higher policyholder benefits, credited interest, and other expenses cited as offsets.
  • • July officer open-market sales are a secondary sentiment overhang, not evidence about operating results. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-17]
  • • The beat was not clean: adjusted pre-tax operating income declined 21%, premiums and deposits fell 13%, and fixed-annuity sales weakened.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 operating earnings beat, but quality was mixed

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
68
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
-12.9
Value
40
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-7.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 67.6 / Value 40.0 / Sentiment 69.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$38.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$14.79B
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
445.77M
P/E (TTM)
18.5
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
14.72
Rev YoY
+25.4%
EPS YoY
-97.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$10.54B
Current Ratio
0.48
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data