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CRBG

Corebridge FinancialC
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The company-released Q2 results showed a $1.12 operating EPS beat versus stored $1.08 consensus, 5% growth in core sources of income, continued capital returns, and shareholder approval of the Equitable merger. The stored analyst-target median of $38.17 implies roughly 12% upside from the $34.01 anchor.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.
What can break
Adjusted pre-tax operating income declined 21% year over year, with higher policyholder benefits, credited interest, and other expenses cited as offsets.
Momentum
86
Value
40
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $38.17 · Bull $42.00 · Bear $29.50Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.42
Why
Momentum86 · Δ7d +5.2
Value40 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted pre-tax operating income declined 21% year over year, with higher policyholder benefits, credited interest, and other expenses cited as offsets.
  • • July officer open-market sales are a secondary sentiment overhang, not evidence about operating results. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-07-17]
  • • The beat was not clean: adjusted pre-tax operating income declined 21%, premiums and deposits fell 13%, and fixed-annuity sales weakened.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-04

Q2 operating earnings beat, but quality was mixed

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
86
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.2
Δ21d
+1.0
Value
40
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-11.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 86.3 / Value 40.0 / Sentiment 61.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$38.17
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$15.21B
Beta
1.06
Shares Out
445.77M
P/E (TTM)
18.5
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
14.72
Rev YoY
+25.4%
EPS YoY
-97.1%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+8.5%
Net Debt
$10.54B
Current Ratio
0.48
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data