B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$101.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas CityCNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue growth, higher freight volume and management's second-half acceleration expectation could support upside if operating leverage and network synergies materialize [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
What can break
Current peer multiples and post-Q2 analyst revisions are unavailable.
Momentum
60
Value
48
Sentiment
53
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $87.00 · Bull $101.00 · Bear $73.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-27
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $101.18
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +10.4
Value48 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment53 · Δ7d -5.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-27.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.4.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Current peer multiples and post-Q2 analyst revisions are unavailable.
- • Q2 reported and core adjusted operating ratios each worsened 90 basis points year over year [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29].
- • Q2's higher operating ratio and lower reported EPS show that revenue growth has not translated uniformly into margin or GAAP earnings improvement.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-06
Canadian notes offering expected to close
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+10.4
Δ21d
+15.0
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
53
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.4
Δ21d
-14.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 60.2 / Value 48.0 / Sentiment 53.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$87.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$73.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-27
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$80.09B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
879.08M
P/E (TTM)
21.7
P/S (TTM)
5.97
P/FCF (TTM)
55.28
Rev YoY
+12.6%
EPS YoY
-13.5%
Gross Margin
+39.7%
Op Margin
+37.1%
Net Debt
$17.08B
Current Ratio
0.59
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data