B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas CityANYSE / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 delivered strong revenue, adjusted EPS, and volume growth, while management expects accelerated second-half growth supported by freight fundamentals, commercial wins, synergies, and cost control [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]. The August labor-resolution announcement also removes an immediate operational disruption [#IR-2026-08-21](https://investor.cpkcr.com/news/press-release-details/2026/CPKC-and-IBEW-agree-to-binding-arbitration-ending-strike/default.aspx).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social-sentiment data are unavailable.
Momentum
72
Value
48
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $102.50 · Bull $110.00 · Bear $80.00Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $103.22
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -6.6
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d -7.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Analyst revision, options, short-interest, and social-sentiment data are unavailable.
- • Binding arbitration may leave labor-cost and execution uncertainty after the strike resolution.
- • Higher fuel expense, a weaker operating ratio, coal weakness, and substantial debt could limit conversion of revenue growth into earnings.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-24
IBEW strike resolution and return to work
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
+19.4
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+1.1
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.5
Δ21d
-5.5
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 72.2 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 77.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$102.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$82.5B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
879.08M
P/E (TTM)
21.7
P/S (TTM)
5.97
P/FCF (TTM)
55.28
Rev YoY
+12.6%
EPS YoY
-13.5%
Gross Margin
+39.7%
Op Margin
+37.1%
Net Debt
$17.08B
Current Ratio
0.59
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data