B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
COOK
TraegerFNYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
If Q1 holds the weak guide, tariffs do not blow up margins, and Project Gravity savings convert into a visibly better EBITDA and cash-flow profile, COOK can re-rate from a distressed small-cap consumer setup.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Continued grill-demand softness or channel caution
Momentum
22
Value
63
Sentiment
12
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $28.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $62.33
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -7.3
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment12 · Δ7d -0.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Continued grill-demand softness or channel caution
- • Execution risk around Project Gravity savings and pricing/SKU actions
- • Revenue is still declining, FY2026 guidance is soft and excludes tariff impact, the reverse split highlights prior listing stress, and the missed 2025 incentive goals reinforce that the turnaround is not yet evidenced in core operating momentum.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-13
Q1 2026 print is the first hard check on a transition-year guide
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
22
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.3
Δ21d
-30.5
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
12
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.9
Δ21d
+0.9
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 21.6 / Value 63.5 / Sentiment 11.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$28.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$155.02M
Beta
1.38
Shares Out
2.8M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.3
P/S (TTM)
0.24
P/FCF (TTM)
31.68
Rev YoY
-17.4%
EPS YoY
+12.5%
Gross Margin
+32.6%
Op Margin
-0.0%
Net Debt
$405.91M
Current Ratio
3.49
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data