B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
COMP
CompassCNYSE / Real Estate Management & Development
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-07
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-30.8
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-30.8
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-18.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+89.1
Score
AI commentary
Recent headlines were positive around the Q2 beat, record adjusted EBITDA, and accelerated synergies. The latest available market snapshot on August 7 showed $12.58, down approximately 1.8% from the prior close, but no trustworthy source cleanly attributed that move to the earnings release. Social, options, short-interest, and employee-sentiment coverage was unavailable; post-print analyst revisions were also unavailable, so the reaction evidence remains incomplete.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-07
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-04eventQ2 earnings beat with forward guidanceMedium impact
Compass reported Q2 revenue of $4.31 billion, pro forma revenue growth of 14.3%, adjusted EBITDA of $363 million above the high end of guidance, $92 million of GAAP net income, and $191 million of operating cash flow. Management guided Q3 revenue to $3.85-$4.05 billion and adjusted EBITDA to $275-$305 million, while maintaining full-year positive free cash flow guidance. Brokerage GTV and transactions outperformed market growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
2026-08-21catalystPost-print digestion and insider-sale overhangMedium impact
The strong print is public and may be partly reflected in the stock. CEO Robert Reffkin reported an open-market sale of 23,456 shares on August 3 at an average price of $11.6999; this is a sentiment and supply signal, not evidence of weaker operations. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-05]
2027-06-30catalystSynergy realization and deleveragingHigh impact
Management said the full $300 million Year 1 net cost synergy target was actioned five months early, raised the Year 1 target to $330 million and 2026 realized target to $220 million, and reiterated a $500 million three-year target. Cash was $694 million, with planned redemption of $500 million of 9.75% notes when callable in Q2 2027. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-07 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology