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COLB

Columbia Banking SystemC
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull scenario assumes sustained NIM expansion and above-consensus loan growth that lifts valuation to the analyst high ($35.00) as confidence in earnings durability returns.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.
What can break
Deposit outflows or liquidity stress
Momentum
36
Value
55
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.89 · Bull $35.00 · Bear $26.00Analysis 2026-01-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $34.36
Why
Momentum36 · Δ7d +3.2
Value55 · Δ7d -9.8
Sentiment64 · Δ7d +0.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Deposit outflows or liquidity stress
  • • Local commercial real estate (CRE) deterioration
  • • Bear scenario reflects deposit pressure or local CRE weakness that compresses multiples and triggers re-rating below current consensus, producing material downside to the low-to-mid $20s.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-25

Analyst consensus re-rating toward 12-month targets

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
36
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.2
Δ21d
-12.7
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.8
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
64
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+7.7
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 36.0 / Value 54.8 / Sentiment 64.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$29.89
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
15%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$9.15B
Beta
0.58
Shares Out
282.9M
P/E (TTM)
13.5
P/S (TTM)
4.16
P/FCF (TTM)
23.01
Rev YoY
+22.0%
EPS YoY
+0.0%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+30.6%
Net Debt
$3.5B
Current Ratio
0.04
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data