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COIN

Coinbase GlobalB
Nasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher crypto activity, recurring subscription-and-services revenue, improving U.S. regulatory clarity and delivery on expense controls could produce operating leverage.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Competition, product execution and regulatory approvals could constrain expansion into additional markets and asset classes.
Momentum
54
Value
49
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $202.00 · Bull $235.00 · Bear $155.00Analysis 2026-09-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $210.88
Why
Momentum54 · Δ7d -27.9
Value49 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +3.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Competition, product execution and regulatory approvals could constrain expansion into additional markets and asset classes.
  • • Crypto-asset prices and trading volatility can cause sharp swings in transaction revenue and earnings.
  • • Transaction revenue remains highly exposed to crypto prices and volatility, while competition, regulation and execution of new products create material downside risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Q3 trading and recurring-revenue checkpoint

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
54
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-27.9
Δ21d
-29.2
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+2.2
Sentiment
69
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+2.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 54.1 / Value 49.4 / Sentiment 69.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$235.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$202.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$155.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$42.11B
Beta
3.71
Shares Out
263.84M
P/E (TTM)
22.1
P/S (TTM)
8.96
P/FCF (TTM)
63.48
Rev YoY
-60.9%
EPS YoY
-126.6%
Gross Margin
+60.3%
Op Margin
-37.6%
Net Debt
-$4.1B
Current Ratio
2.42
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data