COHR
CoherentFNYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The strongest supported bull case is that Coherent is still showing accelerating AI datacenter demand, with Q3 revenue up 21% year over year, non-GAAP gross margin up to 39.6%, and non-GAAP EPS up to $1.41, while management also guided to further sequential revenue and EPS growth in Q4. Third-party earnings trackers cited in retrieval also framed the quarter as an EPS beat versus consensus, but post-print revision breadth was not fully available.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.8.
What can break
Execution risk remains elevated around scaling AI-related capacity, especially the planned InP output ramp and newer platform introductions such as CPO/NPO.
Momentum
26
Value
42
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $300.00 · Bull $380.00 · Bear $240.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $395.09
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -36.2
Value42 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +12.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-36.2
Δ21d
-56.6
Value
42
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.9
Sentiment
49
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.8
Δ21d
+27.6
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 25.9 / Value 42.2 / Sentiment 48.6
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$55.84B
Beta
1.86
Shares Out
195.64M
P/E (TTM)
304.9
P/S (TTM)
4.85
P/FCF (TTM)
469.80
Rev YoY
+20.5%
EPS YoY
-991.0%
Gross Margin
+37.9%
Op Margin
+9.0%
Net Debt
$2.99B
Current Ratio
3.05
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology