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COHR

CoherentB
NYSE / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The primary earnings release supports a constructive operating thesis: accelerating revenue, margin expansion, strong Q1 FY27 guidance, and management confidence in AI-driven optical demand and capacity investment. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-12]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Capacity expansion or manufacturing yield improvements may lag customer demand.
Momentum
15
Value
42
Sentiment
81
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $390.00 · Bull $450.00 · Bear $270.00Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $403.60
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d -17.7
Value42 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment81 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capacity expansion or manufacturing yield improvements may lag customer demand.
  • • Forward non-GAAP guidance is not quantitatively reconciled to GAAP measures in the company release.
  • • The post-print reaction was reportedly weaker than the fundamental result, suggesting expectations were high.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-12

Q4 FY26 results and Q1 FY27 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-17.7
Δ21d
-55.2
Value
42
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
81
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+21.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 14.6 / Value 42.3 / Sentiment 81.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$450.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$390.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$270.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$43.62B
Beta
1.86
Shares Out
196.93M
P/E (TTM)
304.9
P/S (TTM)
4.85
P/FCF (TTM)
469.80
Rev YoY
+33.7%
EPS YoY
-243.6%
Gross Margin
+38.4%
Op Margin
+13.8%
Net Debt
$1.53B
Current Ratio
2.43
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data