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CNX

CNX ResourcesB
NYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Delivery of maintained production and cash-flow guidance, together with favorable realized gas pricing, could support per-share value. The deterministic prior is positive, but the October 29 release is needed to test that view.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Approximately $525 million of guided free cash flow includes expected asset-sale and tax-credit proceeds that may not arrive as forecast. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Momentum
45
Value
67
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $35.00 · Bull $40.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-10-11; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-11 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $38.42
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d +30.2
Value67 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -1.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Approximately $525 million of guided free cash flow includes expected asset-sale and tax-credit proceeds that may not arrive as forecast. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Full-year production or adjusted EBITDAX may miss the guidance maintained in July. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
  • • Second-quarter production fell year over year, while the free-cash-flow outlook partly relies on expected asset-sale and tax-credit proceeds.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

October 29 third-quarter results

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+30.2
Δ21d
+41.3
Value
67
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-38.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 44.8 / Value 67.2 / Sentiment 54.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-11. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$35.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-11 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.41B
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
147.94M
P/E (TTM)
25.2
P/S (TTM)
2.65
P/FCF (TTM)
8.48
Rev YoY
-18.3%
EPS YoY
-47.8%
Gross Margin
+48.4%
Op Margin
+39.8%
Net Debt
$2.59B
Current Ratio
0.72
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data