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CNH

CNH IndustrialC
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth, higher-end guidance, operational-efficiency initiatives, and improving dealer inventory indicators could support recovery optionality. The median analyst target of $12.81 implies substantial upside from $10.44, but the target count is unavailable.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.
What can break
Dealer inventory normalization taking longer than expected
Momentum
52
Value
60
Sentiment
51
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.75 · Bull $12.81 · Bear $8.90Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.85
Why
Momentum52 · Δ7d -20.9
Value60 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment51 · Δ7d -0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Dealer inventory normalization taking longer than expected
  • • Further agriculture and construction margin compression
  • • The business remains near the trough of the agriculture cycle, with weak farmer economics, lower margins, tariff exposure, and declining earnings limiting near-term upside.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-03

Q2 results showed revenue growth but lower profitability

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
52
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-20.9
Δ21d
-35.6
Value
60
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
51
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+9.0
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 52.2 / Value 59.8 / Sentiment 50.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.81
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$10.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$13.92B
Beta
1.30
Shares Out
1.24B
P/E (TTM)
20.3
P/S (TTM)
0.68
P/FCF (TTM)
7.10
Rev YoY
+2.0%
EPS YoY
-34.6%
Gross Margin
+30.1%
Op Margin
+13.3%
Net Debt
$23.81B
Current Ratio
7.29
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data