B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
+28.5% vs current
CM
Canadian Imperial Bank of CommerceBNYSE / Banks
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$99.06
-7.8% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.38
-14.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-30
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+16.9
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+17.9
Positive
Pulse
-34.8
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+45.9
Score
AI commentary
Sentiment is cautiously constructive: median analyst targets sit above the anchor, implying modest base-case upside, while coverage shows dispersion driven by differing views on NIM and capital returns [#SERP-1][#SERP-3].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-30
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-04-30catalystQuarterly operating results / NIM sensitivityMedium impact
Quarterly results and NIM/provision trends will drive near-term revisions and volatility; consensus pages and recent analyst notes highlight this focus [#SERP-1][#SERP-3].
2026-12-03eventFY2026 earnings releaseHigh impact
Company FY2026 results are a material event for guidance, provisions, and capital commentary; market reaction typically concentrates around the reported date [#SERP-4].
2027-01-30catalystCapital return / normalization of credit cycleHigh impact
Improved credit metrics and clearer capital-return policy over 12+ months could re-rate the stock if payout ratios and NIM stabilize [#SERP-1].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology