B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$138.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CM
Canadian Imperial Bank of CommerceDNYSE / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Sustained NIM expansion, contained provisions, and clearer capital returns drive multiple expansion toward the upper analyst range (bull target).
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.0.
What can break
Adverse regulatory or capital actions impacting returns
Momentum
51
Value
44
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $99.06 · Bull $138.00 · Bear $92.38Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $129.98
Why
Momentum51 · Δ7d -1.3
Value44 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment57 · Δ7d +1.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse regulatory or capital actions impacting returns
- • Net interest margin compression from deposit repricing or higher funding costs
- • Significant margin compression or rising credit losses compress multiples below current levels and pressure dividends and valuation.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Quarterly operating results / NIM sensitivity
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
51
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-7.1
Value
44
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
57
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+6.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 50.5 / Value 44.0 / Sentiment 56.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$99.06
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$92.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$114.46B
Beta
1.29
Shares Out
928.77M
P/E (TTM)
14.9
P/S (TTM)
4.07
P/FCF (TTM)
13.58
Rev YoY
+4.9%
EPS YoY
+29.5%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+19.0%
Net Debt
$110.04B
Current Ratio
0.28
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data