B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CHTR
CharterANasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Mobile line growth and bundled connectivity are still offsetting some core internet losses; if the Cox transaction closes and integration is smooth, Charter could gain scale and cross-sell leverage while remaining free-cash-flow positive.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
What can break
2026 capex is guided around $11.4B before Cox impacts, which keeps free cash flow and leverage sensitive to execution.
Momentum
41
Value
71
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $160.00 · Bull $220.00 · Bear $95.00Analysis 2026-05-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $214.44
Why
Momentum41 · Δ7d -14.5
Value71 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment84 · Δ7d +7.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • 2026 capex is guided around $11.4B before Cox impacts, which keeps free cash flow and leverage sensitive to execution.
- • Internet customer losses remain sizable and competitive pressure is still hurting growth.
- • The core franchise is still shrinking: Q1 showed 120k internet net losses, residential internet customers down 455k year over year, continued video and voice erosion, and rising capex before Cox impacts.
Catalyst clock
2026-06-30
Q1 2026 fundamentals were mixed with continued internet pressure
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
41
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.5
Δ21d
-3.1
Value
71
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.5
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.0
Δ21d
+4.4
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 41.0 / Value 70.5 / Sentiment 83.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-27. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$160.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$95.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$19.28B
Beta
1.05
Shares Out
119.28M
P/E (TTM)
5.7
P/S (TTM)
0.49
P/FCF (TTM)
6.19
Rev YoY
-1.7%
EPS YoY
+16.0%
Gross Margin
+46.0%
Op Margin
+24.0%
Net Debt
$96.52B
Current Ratio
0.36
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data