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CHRW

C.H Robinson WorldwideA
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 results show earnings growth, market-share outperformance, pricing discipline, and Lean AI productivity despite a freight-market trough. Continued execution could drive higher margins and operating leverage.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-29.
What can break
Analyst-target coverage is incomplete, limiting confidence in valuation-based upside.
Momentum
26
Value
48
Sentiment
90
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $125.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-29 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $194.91
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d -1.7
Value48 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment90 · Δ7d -1.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-10-29.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst-target coverage is incomplete, limiting confidence in valuation-based upside.
  • • Cash generated from operations fell sharply in Q2 because of working-capital pressure.
  • • The freight cycle remains weak, cash conversion deteriorated sharply, and future spot-rate, volume, and working-capital movements could pressure results even if adjusted earnings remain resilient.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 earnings beat and resilient execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-6.9
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
90
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-15.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 26.3 / Value 47.9 / Sentiment 90.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-29
Market Cap
$14.71B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
115.46M
P/E (TTM)
33.9
P/S (TTM)
1.20
P/FCF (TTM)
38.22
Rev YoY
+19.3%
EPS YoY
+23.8%
Gross Margin
+8.1%
Op Margin
+4.9%
Net Debt
$1.23B
Current Ratio
1.58
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data