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CHRW

C.H Robinson WorldwideC
Nasdaq / Transportation
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 results show earnings growth, market-share outperformance, pricing discipline, and Lean AI productivity despite a freight-market trough. Continued execution could drive higher margins and operating leverage.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.
What can break
Analyst-target coverage is incomplete, limiting confidence in valuation-based upside.
Momentum
10
Value
48
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $165.00 · Bull $185.00 · Bear $125.00Analysis 2026-08-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $202.08
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -0.2
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment71 · Δ7d +4.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst-target coverage is incomplete, limiting confidence in valuation-based upside.
  • • Cash generated from operations fell sharply in Q2 because of working-capital pressure.
  • • The freight cycle remains weak, cash conversion deteriorated sharply, and future spot-rate, volume, and working-capital movements could pressure results even if adjusted earnings remain resilient.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Q2 earnings beat and resilient execution

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+5.5
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.3
Sentiment
71
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
-3.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 10.0 / Value 48.2 / Sentiment 71.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-07. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$185.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$125.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.92B
Beta
0.90
Shares Out
116.85M
P/E (TTM)
33.9
P/S (TTM)
1.20
P/FCF (TTM)
38.22
Rev YoY
+19.3%
EPS YoY
+23.8%
Gross Margin
+8.1%
Op Margin
+4.9%
Net Debt
$1.23B
Current Ratio
1.58
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data