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CHNR

China Natural ResourcesC
Nasdaq / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The post-earnings bull read is that FY2025 losses narrowed materially, derivative liabilities dropped, and CHNR still shows asset backing far above its tiny enterprise narrative; if the HooRii transaction or any mine-related monetization becomes definitive, the stock could re-rate sharply from a low base. No reliable post-print analyst target or estimate-revision data was found, so this remains a thin-evidence setup rather than a confirmed upward revision cycle.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Cash and cash equivalents were only US$68 thousand at December 31, 2025, leaving very limited liquidity cushion.
Momentum
72
Value
43
Sentiment
64
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.10 · Bull $5.80 · Bear $3.00Analysis 2026-05-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-30

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-30. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -
Value43 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment64 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash and cash equivalents were only US$68 thousand at December 31, 2025, leaving very limited liquidity cushion.
  • • No trustworthy post-earnings analyst revision set was available, limiting confirmation that the FY2025 print changed outside expectations.
  • • The bear read is stronger on operating visibility: cash was only US$68 thousand at December 31, 2025, the company remains dependent on related-party funding, the April 28 NT 20-F showed reporting friction from the auditor transition, and the marquee HooRii transaction is still only a non-binding related-party LOI.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-22

FY2025 results and delayed 20-F cure reset the near-term read-through

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
43
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
64
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 71.8 / Value 43.3 / Sentiment 64.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$5.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$4.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$3.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$5M
Beta
0.14
Shares Out
1.26M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-29.2
P/S (TTM)
-
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-6.22
Rev YoY
-
EPS YoY
+0.6%
Gross Margin
-63.8%
Op Margin
-
Net Debt
-$68K
Current Ratio
0.12
As of 2026-10-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data