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CGNT

Cognyte SoftwareC
Nasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The prior Q1 FYE27 release showed 10.4% revenue growth, faster profitability growth, and reiterated FY27 guidance, while subsequent customer expansions support demand visibility [#SEC-6K-2026-06-03] [#IR-2026-08-06] [#IR-2026-07-28].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.
What can break
Customer concentration, geopolitical exposure, regulatory constraints, and international execution could affect results.
Momentum
56
Value
55
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.00 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $6.40Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.33
Why
Momentum56 · Δ7d +21.1
Value55 · Δ7d -1.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -13.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer concentration, geopolitical exposure, regulatory constraints, and international execution could affect results.
  • • Low coverage and unavailable analyst revisions limit expectation-setting and valuation confidence.
  • • The key Q2 result is not yet confirmed in the primary company source as of September 8.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-28

APAC military-intelligence customer expansion

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
56
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+21.1
Δ21d
+47.4
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.1
Δ21d
-0.6
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.2
Δ21d
-18.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 55.7 / Value 55.4 / Sentiment 45.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$720.73M
Beta
1.60
Shares Out
73.85M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1121.8
P/S (TTM)
1.71
P/FCF (TTM)
25.16
Rev YoY
+10.4%
EPS YoY
+205.9%
Gross Margin
+72.5%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
-$73.5M
Current Ratio
1.32
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data