B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CGNT
Cognyte SoftwareBNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The prior Q1 FYE27 release showed 10.4% revenue growth, faster profitability growth, and reiterated FY27 guidance, while subsequent customer expansions support demand visibility [#SEC-6K-2026-06-03] [#IR-2026-08-06] [#IR-2026-07-28].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.
What can break
Customer concentration, geopolitical exposure, regulatory constraints, and international execution could affect results.
Momentum
13
Value
56
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.00 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $6.40Analysis 2026-09-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.33
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d +1.0
Value56 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +0.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Customer concentration, geopolitical exposure, regulatory constraints, and international execution could affect results.
- • Low coverage and unavailable analyst revisions limit expectation-setting and valuation confidence.
- • The key Q2 result is not yet confirmed in the primary company source as of September 8.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-28
APAC military-intelligence customer expansion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
-23.4
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+3.1
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-15.6
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 13.3 / Value 56.3 / Sentiment 74.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$661.41M
Beta
1.60
Shares Out
73.9M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1028.7
P/S (TTM)
1.71
P/FCF (TTM)
25.16
Rev YoY
+10.4%
EPS YoY
+205.9%
Gross Margin
+72.5%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
-$73.5M
Current Ratio
1.32
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data