CENX

Century AluminumD

Nasdaq / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Sustained LME/alumina recovery, higher smelter utilization and lower energy costs restore free cash flow and drive re-rating toward the bull target.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.9.

What can break

High energy costs or localized power disruptions at smelters

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $47.00 · Bull $65.00 · Bear $32.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-02-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $70.25

Why

Momentum11 · Δ7d -4.8

Value49 · Δ7d +0.5

Sentiment61 · Δ7d +4.9

So what

Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.8

Δ21d

-17.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.5

Δ21d

+0.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.9

Δ21d

+10.9

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 10.8 / Value 48.8 / Sentiment 61.3

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$4.11B

Beta

2.24

Shares Out

98.97M

P/E (TTM)

53.2

P/S (TTM)

1.62

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

149.93

Rev YoY

+2.4%

EPS YoY

+1010.0%

Gross Margin

+12.7%

Op Margin

+6.7%

Net Debt

$437.3M

Current Ratio

2.30

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology