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CEG

Constellation EnergyD
Nasdaq / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings release supports a constructive operating thesis: adjusted EPS increased year over year, full-year guidance was raised, Crane restart milestones advanced, and long-duration PPAs improve future demand visibility. Calpine expands the platform, although integration remains important.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Brazos Valley divestiture requires DOJ approval and other closing conditions.
Momentum
78
Value
43
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
6 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $290.00 · Bull $335.00 · Bear $225.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $349.89
Why
Momentum78 · Δ7d +4.4
Value43 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 6 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Brazos Valley divestiture requires DOJ approval and other closing conditions.
  • • Calpine integration, synergies, leverage, and capital-allocation execution remain material execution variables.
  • • The packet does not provide post-print analyst target or estimate revisions.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 beat and FY2026 guidance raise

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
78
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+4.4
Δ21d
+41.0
Value
43
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-4.0
Sentiment
50
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-12.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 78.3 / Value 43.0 / Sentiment 50.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$335.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$290.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$98.57B
Beta
1.15
Shares Out
354.31M
P/E (TTM)
40.7
P/S (TTM)
4.46
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-966.64
Rev YoY
+38.6%
EPS YoY
-46.7%
Gross Margin
+17.4%
Op Margin
+14.9%
Net Debt
$5.75B
Current Ratio
1.46
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data