B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
CDRE
CadreCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Raised guidance, a record backlog and Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $42.0 million support growth if orders convert and acquisition benefits persist. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.
What can break
Acquisition integration, contingent consideration and higher net debt could limit GAAP earnings and cash-flow improvement. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
Momentum
30
Value
57
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $29.00 · Bull $36.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $45.83
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +12.5
Value57 · Δ7d -2.0
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -14.3
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition integration, contingent consideration and higher net debt could limit GAAP earnings and cash-flow improvement. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
- • FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance has no GAAP net-income reconciliation because certain expenses and gains cannot be forecast without unreasonable effort. [#8-K-2026-08-05]
- • Q2 GAAP net income fell year over year despite higher sales; acquisition-related expenses and foreign exchange weighed on results.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Test of raised FY2026 outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
30
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
+15.8
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-3.8
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.3
Δ21d
-30.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 29.5 / Value 57.4 / Sentiment 50.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.28B
Beta
1.36
Shares Out
42.82M
P/E (TTM)
37.9
P/S (TTM)
2.76
P/FCF (TTM)
36.98
Rev YoY
+31.8%
EPS YoY
-11.8%
Gross Margin
+40.5%
Op Margin
+11.1%
Net Debt
$202.51M
Current Ratio
2.14
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data