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CDRE

CadreB
NYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q2 execution, record backlog, raised FY2026 guidance, and recurring demand in law enforcement, first responder, military, and nuclear markets support a cautiously positive forward thesis.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.9.
What can break
Backlog conversion, product mix, and acquisition integration may not match current guidance assumptions.
Momentum
55
Value
59
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $31.50 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $23.50Analysis 2026-09-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $47.50
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d -29.3
Value59 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment74 · Δ7d -5.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Backlog conversion, product mix, and acquisition integration may not match current guidance assumptions.
  • • Lower agency demand for hard goods in the Distribution segment remains a disclosed demand risk. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05]
  • • Acquisition integration, backlog timing, lower agency demand in distribution, foreign-exchange pressure, higher compensation and contingent-consideration expense, and recent insider selling could limit the rerating.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-01

Raised FY2026 guidance and backlog validation

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-29.3
Δ21d
-39.4
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.3
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.9
Δ21d
+3.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 55.2 / Value 58.5 / Sentiment 73.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$31.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.43B
Beta
1.36
Shares Out
42.82M
P/E (TTM)
37.9
P/S (TTM)
2.76
P/FCF (TTM)
36.98
Rev YoY
+31.8%
EPS YoY
-11.8%
Gross Margin
+40.5%
Op Margin
+11.1%
Net Debt
$202.51M
Current Ratio
2.14
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data