B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CDP
COPT Defense PropertiesDNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong defense leasing momentum and continued analyst upgrades drive NAV re-rating; high visibility on contractual cashflows supports valuation at or above the analyst high.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.9.
What can break
Broader REIT multiple compression from rising rates
Momentum
58
Value
52
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $29.00Analysis 2026-02-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $40.74
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +2.3
Value52 · Δ7d -
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +5.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Broader REIT multiple compression from rising rates
- • FFO/affordable yield miss vs guidance
- • Slower-than-expected lease renewals, higher capex or tenant concessions, or broader REIT multiple compression depress FFO and push valuation toward the analyst low.
Catalyst clock
2026-03-31
Analyst price-target revisions (Jefferies and peers)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
-15.0
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.9
Δ21d
+6.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 58.4 / Value 52.3 / Sentiment 47.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.32B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
113.41M
P/E (TTM)
20.9
P/S (TTM)
4.16
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
59.53
Rev YoY
+3.9%
EPS YoY
+19.2%
Gross Margin
+36.7%
Op Margin
+30.3%
Net Debt
$2.54B
Current Ratio
1.72
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data