B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
CDP
COPT Defense PropertiesCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Strong defense leasing momentum and continued analyst upgrades drive NAV re-rating; high visibility on contractual cashflows supports valuation at or above the analyst high.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Broader REIT multiple compression from rising rates
Momentum
53
Value
53
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $33.00 · Bull $38.00 · Bear $29.00Analysis 2026-02-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $39.75
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d -0.5
Value53 · Δ7d -
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Broader REIT multiple compression from rising rates
- • FFO/affordable yield miss vs guidance
- • Slower-than-expected lease renewals, higher capex or tenant concessions, or broader REIT multiple compression depress FFO and push valuation toward the analyst low.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · AMC
Analyst price-target revisions (Jefferies and peers)
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
53
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
+12.7
Value
53
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-8.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 52.7 / Value 52.9 / Sentiment 49.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$33.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$29.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.67B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
113.41M
P/E (TTM)
20.9
P/S (TTM)
4.16
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
54.87
Rev YoY
+3.9%
EPS YoY
+19.2%
Gross Margin
+36.7%
Op Margin
+30.3%
Net Debt
$2.54B
Current Ratio
1.72
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data