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CBZ

CBIZB
NYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The supported upside case is transaction completion at $55 cash, with first-half cash-flow improvement providing some operating support during the closing process [#SEC-8K-2026-07-29]. A higher bid is possible in theory but is not supported by packet evidence.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Deal failure could cause a sharp reversion toward an uncertain standalone valuation.
Momentum
96
Value
60
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $55.00 · Bull $55.50 · Bear $40.00Analysis 2026-08-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $55.00
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -0.8
Value60 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +5.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-09.
  • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • Deal failure could cause a sharp reversion toward an uncertain standalone valuation.
  • FY2026 guidance was withdrawn and the earnings call was canceled, reducing forward operating visibility.
  • The primary downside is deal failure or delay, which could remove the $55 price anchor.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-29

Mixed Q2 results and withdrawal of FY2026 guidance

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
96
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-1.6
Value
60
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.7
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.4
Δ21d
+2.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 96.3 / Value 59.9 / Sentiment 61.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
5%
Probability
Target price
$55.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
85%
Probability
Target price
$55.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
10%
Probability
Target price
$40.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.97B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
54.26M
P/E (TTM)
35.3
P/S (TTM)
1.09
P/FCF (TTM)
33.91
Rev YoY
-0.2%
EPS YoY
-52.6%
Gross Margin
+15.1%
Op Margin
+10.9%
Net Debt
$1.77B
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data